Resumen

GOMES, Maria Cristina Sousa; SILVA, Carlos Jorge; CASTRO, Eduardo Anselmo de  y  MARQUES, João Lourenço. Fertility trends in Portugal: a regional diversity approach. Anál. Social [online]. 2016, n.218, pp.36-70. ISSN 0003-2573.

This paper analyzes the fertility trends based on a spatial approach. The application of theMoran’s Indexrevealed the presence of a spatial dependence phenomenon, i.e. an auto-correlation inherent to the heterogeneous behavior of fertility throughout the Portuguese territory. Given the changing pattern, a bivariate analysis was made to identify the socio-economic factors that might be associated with it.Through the use of a regression model it was possible to find that the factors explaining the evolution of fertility have changed over time, reflecting the cultural, social,and economic transformations of the Portuguese society.

Palabras clave : spatial auto-correlation; fertility evolution patterns; fertility regional diversity.

        · resumen en Portugués     · texto en Portugués     · Portugués ( pdf )