<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0003-2573</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Análise Social]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Anál. Social]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0003-2573</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0003-25732005000500005</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Eleitoralismo nos municípios portugueses]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="fr"><![CDATA[L’électoralisme dans les municipalités portugaises]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Electoralism in Portuguese town and city councils]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Veiga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Linda Gonçalves]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Veiga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Francisco José]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade do Minho  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2005</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2005</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>177</numero>
<fpage>865</fpage>
<lpage>889</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0003-25732005000500005&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0003-25732005000500005&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0003-25732005000500005&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[O presente artigo testa a existência de ciclos político-económicos nos municípios de Portugal continental durante o período de 1979-2001. Os resultados empíricos revelam claramente o comportamento eleitoralista dos autarcas, que, em anos de eleições, aumentam os défices e as despesas municipais, fazendo crescer o emprego municipal. A nível das despesas, os aumentos são mais elevados em rubricas altamente visíveis pelo eleitorado, tais como Viadutos, arruamentos e obras complementares e Viação rural. Na medida em que o eleitoralismo dos autarcas gera ineficiências na alocação dos recursos, consideramos ser benéfica a imposição de regras que limitem a gestão discricionária das finanças locais.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="fr"><p><![CDATA[Cet article analyse l’existence de cycles politico-économiques dans les municipalités du continent portugais au cours de la période 1979-2001. Les résultats empiriques révèlent clairement un comportement électoraliste par les élus locaux qui, les années d’élections, augmentent les déficits et les dépenses municipales, en faisant croître l’emploi municipal. Dans ces dépenses, les plus fortes augmentations apparaissent dans les postes davantage en vue par l’électorat, tels que Viaducs, voirie et travaux complémentaires et Chemins ruraux. Dans la mesure où l’électoralisme des élus génère des inefficiences dans l’allocation des ressources, nous considérons que l’imposition de règles limitant la gestion discrétionnaire des finances locales s’avère bénéfique.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[This article tests for the existence of political and economic cycles in city councils in contintental Portugal from 1979 to 2001. The empirical results clearly show that local government officials behave in an electoralist manner in election years local authorities increase their deficits and add to municipal expenditure, taking on more employees. In terms of expenditure, the highest increases take place under headings which are highly visible to the electorate, such as Viaducts, roads and highways and associated works and Rural transport. To the extent that local government officials’ electoralism produces inefficiencies in terms of resource allocation, we believe there is a good case to be made for the imposition of rules limiting the discretionary management powers of local authority treasury departments.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Eleições autárquicas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Política económica local]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Gestão autárquica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Portugal]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Finanças locais]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Poder local]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Política económica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Autarquias]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[ <p><b>Eleitoralismo nos munic&iacute;pios portugueses</b></p>     <p>Linda Gon&ccedil;alves Veiga<a href="#1">*</a><a name="top1"></a> Francisco    Jos&eacute; Veiga<a href="#1">*</a> <a name="top1"></a></p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <p align="justify">O presente artigo testa a exist&ecirc;ncia de ciclos pol&iacute;tico-econ&oacute;micos    nos munic&iacute;pios de Portugal continental durante o per&iacute;odo de 1979-2001.    Os resultados emp&iacute;ricos revelam claramente o comportamento eleitoralista    dos autarcas, que, em anos de elei&ccedil;&otilde;es, aumentam os d&eacute;fices    e as despesas municipais, fazendo crescer o emprego municipal. A n&iacute;vel    das despesas, os aumentos s&atilde;o mais elevados em rubricas altamente vis&iacute;veis    pelo eleitorado, tais como Viadutos, arruamentos e obras complementares e Via&ccedil;&atilde;o    rural. Na medida em que o eleitoralismo dos autarcas gera inefici&ecirc;ncias    na aloca&ccedil;&atilde;o dos recursos, consideramos ser ben&eacute;fica a imposi&ccedil;&atilde;o    de regras que limitem a gest&atilde;o discricion&aacute;ria das finan&ccedil;as    locais.</p>     <p align="justify">Palavras-chave: Elei&ccedil;&otilde;es aut&aacute;rquicas,    Pol&iacute;tica econ&oacute;mica local, Gest&atilde;o aut&aacute;rquica, Portugal,    Finan&ccedil;as locais, Poder local, Pol&iacute;tica econ&oacute;mica, Autarquias</p>     <p align="justify">&nbsp;</p>     <p align="justify"><b>L&#8217;&eacute;lectoralisme dans les municipalit&eacute;s    portugaises </b></p>     <p align="justify">Cet article analyse l&#8217;existence de cycles politico-&eacute;conomiques    dans les municipalit&eacute;s du continent portugais au cours de la p&eacute;riode    1979-2001. Les r&eacute;sultats empiriques r&eacute;v&egrave;lent clairement    un comportement &eacute;lectoraliste par les &eacute;lus locaux qui, les ann&eacute;es    d&#8217;&eacute;lections, augmentent les d&eacute;ficits et les d&eacute;penses    municipales, en faisant cro&icirc;tre l&#8217;emploi municipal. Dans ces d&eacute;penses,    les plus fortes augmentations apparaissent dans les postes davantage en vue    par l&#8217;&eacute;lectorat, tels que Viaducs, voirie et travaux compl&eacute;mentaires    et Chemins ruraux. Dans la mesure o&ugrave; l&#8217;&eacute;lectoralisme des    &eacute;lus g&eacute;n&egrave;re des inefficiences dans l&#8217;allocation des    ressources, nous consid&eacute;rons que l&#8217;imposition de r&egrave;gles    limitant la gestion discr&eacute;tionnaire des finances locales s&#8217;av&egrave;re    b&eacute;n&eacute;fique.</p>     <p align="justify">&nbsp;</p>     <p align="justify"><b>Electoralism in Portuguese town and city councils </b></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="justify">This article tests for the existence of political and economic    cycles in city councils in contintental Portugal from 1979 to 2001. The empirical    results clearly show that local government officials behave in an electoralist    manner in election years local authorities increase their deficits and add to    municipal expenditure, taking on more employees. In terms of expenditure, the    highest increases take place under headings which are highly visible to the    electorate, such as Viaducts, roads and highways and associated works and Rural    transport. To the extent that local government officials&#8217; electoralism    produces inefficiencies in terms of resource allocation, we believe there is    a good case to be made for the imposition of rules limiting the discretionary    management powers of local authority treasury departments.</p>     <p align="justify">&nbsp;</p>     <p>Texto completo disponível apenas em PDF.</p>     <p>Full text only available in PDF format.</p>     <p>&nbsp;</p>     <P ALIGN="left"><B>Bibliografia</B>      <!-- ref --><P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Alesina, A. (1987), &#171;Macroeconomic policy in a two-party    system as a repeated game&#187;, in <I>Quarterly Journal of Economics,</I> 102,    pp. 651-678.      &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=000019&pid=S0003-2573200500050000500001&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --><P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Alesina, A., Cohen, G. e Roubini, N. (1997), <I>Political Cycles    and the Macroeconomy,</I> Cambridge e Londres, MA, MIT Press.      <P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Alesina, A., e Cukierman, A. (1990), &#171;The politics of    ambiguity&#187;, in <I>Quarterly Journal of Economics,</I> 105, pp 829-850.      <P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Arellano, M., e Bond, S. (1991), &#171;Some tests of specification    for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations&#187;,    in <I>The Review of Economic Studies,</I> 58, pp. 277-297.      ]]></body>
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<body><![CDATA[<P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Veiga, L. G., e Veiga, F. J. (2004a), &#171;Ciclos pol&iacute;tico-econ&oacute;micos    nos munic&iacute;pios portugueses&#187;, in <I>Actas da II Confer&ecirc;ncia    do Banco de Portugal &#151; Desenvolvimento Econ&oacute;mico Portugu&ecirc;s    no Espa&ccedil;o Europeu,</I> 11 e 12 de Mar&ccedil;o, Lisboa.      <P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Veiga, F. J., e Veiga, L. G. (2004b), &#171;Popularity functions,    partisan effects and support in parliament&#187;, in <I>Economics &amp; Politics,</I>    16 (1), pp. 101-115<I>.</I>      <P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Veiga, F. J., e Veiga, L. G. (2004c), &#171;The determinants    of vote intentions in Portugal&#187;, in <I>Public Choice,</I> 118, pp. 341-364<I>.</I>      <P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">Veiga, L. G., e Pinho, M. M. (2005), &#171;The political economy    of portuguese intergovernmental Grants&#187;, in <I>NIPE &#151; Working Papers,</I>    8/2005.      <P ALIGN="JUSTIFY">&nbsp;      <p><a href="#top1">*</a> <a name="1"></a>Universidade do Minho. </p>      ]]></body><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Alesina]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Macroeconomic policy in a two-party system as a repeated game]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Quarterly Journal of Economics]]></source>
<year>1987</year>
<volume>102</volume>
<page-range>651-678</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
