ARTIGO ORIGINAL

Impacts of the storm Hercules in Portugal

Impacto da tempestade Hercules, em Portugal.

Ângela Santos¹ Susana Mendes² João Corte-Real³

1 Centre for Geographical studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Edifício da Faculdade de Letras, Alameda da Universidade, 1600-214, Lisboa, Portugal. E-mail: angela.Santos@campus.ul.pt  

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study is to analyse the impacts of the Hercules storm in Portugal. The storm occurred from January 5^th to 7^th, 2014. A brief characterization of the storm was conducted and the witnesses’ accounts were compiled, complemented with field survey before and after the storm. The results show that this event had origin in a strong system of low pressure that hit Portugal. The system triggered strong sea waves with long periods, run-ups between 6 to 9 m, and inundation depths mostly under 1 m. The effects on the Portuguese coastline showed some weaknesses in the spatial planning management: (i) the fact that a wave train restricted to the beaches, front streets, ports and marinas caused significant damage; (ii) some people ignored the emergency management authorities, putting themselves in a risk situation.

Keywords: Hercules storm, media, witnesses’ accounts, field survey, risk awareness.

RESUMO – Neste estudo, analisam-se os impactos da tempestade Hércules, que atingiu Portugal entre os dias 5 e 7 de Janeiro de 2014. Caracteriza-se brevemente a tempestade, e apresentam-se os relatos das testemunhas e os resultados do trabalho de campo anterior e posterior à tempestade. Este evento teve origem num forte sistema depressionário que provocou forte agitação marítima, ondas de longo período, run-ups de 6 a 9 m, com profundidades de inundação em geral inferiores a 1m. Os efeitos no litoral português ilustram algumas fraquezas no ordenamento e gestão do território: (i) o facto de um conjunto de ondas, mesmo restringidas às praias, marginais, portos e marinas, ter causado elevados prejuízos materiais; (ii) a circunstância de os avisos das autoridades da gestão da emergência terem sido ignorados por indiv íduos, que assim se colocaram em situação de risco.

Palavras-chave: Tempestade Hércules, comunica ção social, testemunhos, trabalho de campo, sensibilização ao risco.

Impacts de la tempête Hercule au Portugal. La tempête “Hercule” a touché le Portugal du 5 au 7 janvier 2014. Pour analyser ses conséquences, on l ’a sommairement caractérisée, on a recueilli divers témoignages et on a observé le terrain, avant et après la temp ête. Ce système dépressionnaire accentué a provoqué une forte agitation maritime, avec des vagues de longue période et de 6 à 9 m d’amplitude. Les dégâts enregistrés révèlent certaines faiblesses de gestion de la part des autorit és : i) il est anormal que des vagues n’ayant touché qu’une étroite bande littorale aient provoqué de tels dég âts matériels; ii) Les avis de danger émis par l’organisme chargé de gérer les situations périlleuses ont été ignorées par certaines personnes, qui ont ainsi couru des risques.

Mots-clés: Tempête “Hercule ”, média, témoignages, travail de terrain, enquête de terrain, sensibilisation aux risques.

I. INTRODUCTION

Portugal has been experiencing atmospheric events that caused severe damage and fatalities, such as the floods of 1876, 1967 and 1997 (Zêzere et al., 2014). However, scientific studies focusing on observational perspective are scarce (Sousa et al., 2013) and even fewer studies deal with post-disaster field surveys. Pereira, et al. (2014) pointed out that newspapers are good data providers regarding temporal information about the natural disaster events that caused damage including direct injuries on the populations, as well as economic damage. Thus, field surveys, carried out by the first author, are the best approach to obtain spatial inventories. In 2011 a storm destroyed the sand dunes at the south of Vagueira (fig. SM 1, supplementary Material, available online), damaged a road and reached the Aveiro Ria, which is about 200 m inland. The field survey showed the fast reconstruction of the sand dune, and a scouring of about 0.8 m on the road. Also in 2011, a very rare episode of hail occurred in Lisbon (Fragoso et al., 2011), where data was also collected in situ. Another storm that occurred in 2013 generated waves that reached at least 5 m high in Cova, Figueira da Foz. The debris line was still visible at the base of Cova’s sand dune (fig. SM 2). At that time, there was also large debris deposited on the Cova’s south spur. Although this storm did not cause any damage on the area, evidences were found that a section of the sand dune was collapsing.

Between January 5^th and 7^th, 2014 a low pressure system approached Portugal from the Atlantic Ocean. It was named “Hercules” by the Weather Channel ( http://www.weather.com/news/weather-winter/winter-stormnames-2013-2014-20131001), which is a media company. However, the official name of this winter storm is “Christina” by the University of Berlin (http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/adopt-a-vortex/tief/). In this paper the “Hercules” name was selected because most of the information related to its impacts was provided by the media. Its passage left significant damage due to strong winds, long period waves and intense precipitation. The most significant impacts occurred on the evening of Monday, January 6^th and in the early morning of Tuesday January 7^th.

Long sea waves generated by atmospheric disturbances can be caused by atmospheric gravity waves, storm activity, pressure jumps, frontal passages and squalls (Rabinovich et al., 2009; Vilibic and Sepic, 2009). These waves are similar to ordinary tsunami waves and can affect coasts in a similar way. They are usually called meteotsunamis or meteorological tsunamis. Thus, the features of Hercules storm fits well in this type of natural hazards.

The emergency management authorities provided several storm warnings to the general population (Civil Protection, IPMA and the Maritime authority). The warnings were disseminated to the public by the media. In fact, the role of media has been increasing in the dissemination of the information related to natural disasters (Vasterman, et al. 2005; Barnes et al., 2008) not only live, but especially on online archives (Tschoegl et al., 2006; Santos et al., 2007; Santos, 2011; Santos and Queir ós, 2013). The media also played an important role in the dissemination of the witnesses’ accounts by providing videos, photos and reports online. The witnesses’ accounts are very important because among other data allows a comprehensive analysis of a natural disaster (Levine et al., 2004; Tinti et al., 2005). For example, Vucetic et al. (2009) compiled the witnesses’ accounts of the 1978 meteotsunami, in order to put together that event.

In the next section, the methodology is presented, followed by the storm characterization. In section IV, the witnesses’ accounts are collected, complemented by the results of the field survey. Finally, the discussion and conclusions are presented.

II. METHODOLOGY

The methodology applied to this study was based in the following methods: the storm characterization, the compilation and interpretation of the witnesses’ accounts and a post-tsunami field survey. The storm characterization was carried out by the collection of satellite images, forecasted weather maps and tide gauge data.

The witnesses’ accounts were compiled from the media, reporting damages all over the Portuguese coastline that occurred in the evening of January 6^th. Most of the reports were broadcasted live on the Portuguese TV channels, on Monday evening (January 6^th) and on Tuesday morning (January 7^th), and later posted on online archives. The major sources of information used in this study were RTP Notícias online (http://www.rtp.pt), Sic Notícas online (www.sicnoticias.sapo.pt), Porto Canal online (www.portocanal.sapo.pt) and TVI24 online (http://www.TVI24.iol.pt). In addition, daily newspapers also provided important data on their websites: Correio da Manhã online. (http://www.cmjornal.xl.pt), Diário de Coimbra online (www.diariocoimbra.pt) and Região Sul online (www.regiao-sul.pt). The Rá dio Renascença radio station also posted online information about the storm’s impact at Rádio Renascença online (www.rr.sapo.pt). Furthermore, many videos and photos were posted online by the witnesses themselves, which also provided important valuable data.

As a complement to the witnesses’ accounts, a field survey was conducted on some coastal areas. The selection of the studied points were based on existing previous research and field surveys, as well as on availability of post-storm photos. The Hercules storm generated waves of unusual long periods (section III), fitting in the definition of a meteotsunami, causing its behaviour on the coastline as “tsunami like”. therefore, post-tsunami field survey techniques (Borrero, 2005; Imamura et al., 2005; Dominey-Howes et al., 2012) were applied by the first author with the aim of: i) documenting damages on camera, ii) measuring longitude, latitude and height using GPS III) pointing out features of the storm, and iv) measuring maximum water level height and inundation depths on the affected coastal areas.

On January 5^th, 2014 the north Atlantic was under the influence of a deep depression, in the lower troposphere, with a closed nucleus above 40ºn, between the longitudes of 0 to 40ºW, to which was associated an occluded frontal system with a cold front to the West of the Iberian Peninsula extending north, to the UK. At the centre of the depression, located at 50ºn, 30ºW, the pressure at the surface (12:00 UTC) was lower than 940 hPa. The system extended to the south till 30ºn as a cold long wave in the mean sea level pressure field; the associated winds were strong, especially north of 35ºn. The deep vertical structure of the system was associated with wind values that increased with altitude Portugal was under the influence of a shortwave high pressure ridge with advection of warm air. A cold low was located at the Gulf of Genoa in the Mediterranean Sea.

Then, from January 5^th to 6^th, all the depressionary structure moved to n-ne. The cold frontal surface was (12:00 UTC) on the north and centre of Portugal. The entire country was under the influence of warm air from SW and positive advection of relative vorticity. also, from January 5 ^th to 6 ^th, an intensification of the wind was observed, both at surface and aloft; at the 500 hPa level the wind intensity was higher than 50kt.

On January 7^th, the cold frontal surface mentioned above, was already influencing the south of Portugal, by moving from NW to se. In the middle troposphere, at 500 hPa, over Portugal, an intense positive advection of relative vorticity was associated to wind intensities of 60 to 70 kt. The high pressure ridge that on January 5^th was located over Portugal two days later was influencing the Gulf of Genoa. The above mentioned cold low was observed to move to the north of Africa. Furthermore, from January 5^th to 7^th, over the Atlantic Ocean, the fetch length was large with strong winds from SW. The propagation of this low-pressure system was very well identified by the Global forecast system (GFS) analysis displayed in figure 2 and figure 3.

Finally, on January 8^th all the cyclonic structure was in the lower troposphere, over the Atlantic Ocean fragmented. A high pressure ridge of long wavelength between 20ºW and 40ºW was observed. Above Portugal, at the surface, the wind was weak from south, and a new frontal surface was now influencing the country from the NW. At 500 hPa, the long wavelength trough was still observed with warm air advection and positive advection of relative vorticity at 850 hPa and 500 hPa. Although the Hercules storm had completely vanished on January 8^th, Portugal still remained under the influence of rainy weather conditions, although not stormy.

The most significant impacts occurred on the evening of January 6^th and in the early morning of January 7^th during the high tides. Figure 4 shows the available tide gauge stations that recorded the Hercules storm (www.ioc-sealevelmonitoring.org) in mainland Portugal. Due to the evident unreliability displayed by the data registered at Lagos station, the authors decided to rely on the Cascais data set. The Cascais tide gauge station clearly shows that the maximum water level corresponded to the high tide of the January 6^th, about 18:40 (UTC), and in the early morning of January 7^th. Data also show clearly long period waveforms of about 10 minutes, a feature also observed in meteotsunami events.

IV. WITNESSES’ACCOUNTS

The location of the points described by the witnesses is presented in figure 1, and table I summarizes the reports. The places are ordered from north to south. The witnesses reported several storm parameters, damages that were separated between damages on natural landscapes, structures and properties, and fatalities.

In Matosinhos (Point 4), four waves were observed, the second and the fourth being the largest ones (PC, 2014c). However, one major wave was responsible for the flooding on the coastal areas of Porto (Point 5), Caldas da Rainha (Point 12) and Tamariz beach, Estoril (Point 17). The witnesses also reported the wave heights, estimated based on their knowledge about the local areas. The wave heights ranged between 5 m in Tamariz beach, Estoril (Point 17) and 9 m height at Furadouro, Ovar (Point 8).

Significant damage was observed along most of the Portuguese shoreline, including Azores, as presented in table I. exceptions occurred in Cortegaça, Ovar (Point 8) where there were no damage or injuries, but the Cortegaça camping site was in danger of being flooded (Bessa and Valentim, 2014). In Madeira, although the waves overtopped the levees, no damage was reported (Fernandes et al., 2014). Although sand dunes are natural barriers these structures did not stand the sea onslaught in several coastal areas such as in Esposende (Point 2), in Ilhavo (Point 9), in Figueira da Foz (Point 10), Costa da Caparica (Point 20), and Praia de Faro, Faro (Point 29).

In some places streets were closed down: at Matosinhos (Point 4) the sea front streets were full of sand and debris, and the traffic was cut between the Liberdade Avenue (av) and Antunes Guimarães Avenue in Leça da Palmeira (near the new Port authorities of Douro and Leixões) and the Almeiriga Norte St., between the Paraíso and Memória beaches, in Perafita (TVI24, 2014c). at Porto (Point 5), the authorities had to progressively increase the safety perimeter (RTPN, 2014d) because people would not stay away from the coastline; in Caldas da Rainha (Point 12) one major wave flooded the Mar Avenue, at the Foz do Arelho beach, dragging away four cars although no injuries were reported. This happened soon after 19:00 hours. Following this, the beach bars and streets were closed to traffic (TVI24, 2014i).

Although no further incidents were reported, many witnesses adopted a risky behaviour: in São Pedro de Moel (Point 11), several photos and videos taken by witnesses and reporters (e.g., TVI24, 2014c, 2014) showed local people running at the last minute from the waves. At Cascais (Point 16) videos and photos also showed locals adopting risky behaviour patterns by taking photos too close to the coastline. In Costa da Caparica (Point 20), a video showed a man running away at the very last minute. Being caught by the wave, he was able to escape and was later evacuated by car.

Disaster prevention measures were taken by stakeholders: in Matosinhos (Point 4), three families were evacuated; in Gaia (Point 6) an elementary school with 52 children was evacuated (Ferreira and Silva, 2014); in Espinho (Point 7) the Regimento de Engenharia de Espinho had been building sand bars for the past several weeks (RTPN, 2014a). As a consequence, only two beach bars were flooded and no further consequences occurred; in Peniche (Point 13) the sea flooded the parking lot near the marina. There was no further damage in the area because it had been closed to traffic several days before the storm (TVI24, 2014g). In Sintra (Point 15) the roads were closed to traffic because the waves were reaching them (Ramalhinho, 2014).

V. FIELD SURVEY

The field survey was conducted on several places displayed in table I and in figure 1: Figueira da Foz (Point 10), Ericeira (Point 14), Tamariz (Point 17), Carcavelos (Point 18). At the Poça beach, Estoril no witnesses’ accounts were available, showing that field surveys are indeed fundamental work. The field survey results are presented in table SM I.

A field survey had been conducted at Cabedelo, Figueira da Foz (Point 10.1) before this storm on April 18^th, 2012 (fig. 5b and SM 3b). Photos after the storm show that the waves overtopped the parking lot which is 5.67 m high (table SM i), inundating it and depositing sand and small boulders. It partially destroyed a wall near the road. The sand dune is 9.13 m high (point 10.2), and did not suffer significant damage.

The Cova’ sand dune showed to be a natural barrier (fig. SM 3d, Point 10.3), reaching a height of 13.84 m. In 2013 part of the sand dune was showing signs of collapsing (fig. SM 2) being almost as the same level as Point 10.4 (5.10m). Although there were no structural damages on the area, the collapsed sand dune allowed the water to penetrate inland till the pine trees (fig. 5d, e).

Ericeira (Point 14) was surveyed on several occasions, both before and after the storm. At the Norte beach, the sea waves moved several large boulders, caused a landslide and significant destruction on a concrete stair at Point 14.2, located at a height of 8.12 m (fig. SM 4 b, c, d). The waves also ripped away the concrete bricks of the sidewalk (fig. SM 4i), and completely destroyed all the beach bars (figs. 6b, c and SM 4e, f) except one that remained standing. The “algodio” bar is located about 7 m above mean sea level (Point 14.4). The first author measured an inundation depth of 2.7 m on the bar (fig. 6 c), giving a local run-up of 9.7 m. furthermore, the waves ripped away about 75 m of the concrete sea wall (fig. SM 4 g), which was deposited on the road. The cleaning operations started on January 7^th and about 2 months later, on March 8^th the road was clear of the debris (fig. SM 4 h). The beach was about 5 m high before the storm. However, figure SM 4j shows the erosion of the beach close to 2 m, and the access to the beach (Point 14.5) could not be used.

From the Norte beach, the waves propagated into the Ericeira fishing port. The naval club, located at a height of 5.19 m (Point 14.6), was completely destroyed (fig. SM 5 b, c), and on March 4^th 2014 it was completely renovated (fig. SM 5 d). Two men trapped inside the club said the water level reached their necks (table I). The breakwater is 6.57 m high (Point 14.8), and the witnesses also reported that the waves passed over it. The difference in heights is 1.38 m which confirms the witnesses’ accounts. On the other hand, photos taken during the storm (fig. SM 5e) and in the evening of January 7^th (fig. SM 5 f) show the waves hitting the breakwater and passing over it, validating the reports (table I). In addition, photos taken before and after the storm at the fishing port (fig. 6 d, e) showed a significant deposition of sand (fig. SM 5 g) that most likely originated from the Norte beach. The maximum inundation level was 4.51 m (Point 14.11) whereas the ground has a height of 3.9 m (Point 14.12), which shows that the breakwater had an important role in decreasing the waves’ impact on the fishing port because the inundation depth was 0.61 m only. since the fishermen’s warehouses are located on elevated ground (fig. SM 5 h) the waves did not cause significant damage inside the facilities, but the wave currents were strong enough to destroy several vessels, and ripping away a bench and the civil protection sign (fig. 6 e).

The Sul beach also suffered significant damage from the waves that ripped awaythe concrete floor and seawall, scattering debris and stones and leaving a hole on the ground (fig. SM 6 f and 6 b, f, g). Although by March 7^th the sand and debris had been cleared from the sidewalk (fig. SM 6 c), damage was still visible. The waves hit the sidewalk, breaking and increasing significantly in height (fig. SM 6 d). Photos taken after the storm showed sand deposited on the sidewalk and broken windows in a restaurant (fig. SM 6 d, e). The sidewalk is located at about 6 m high (Point 14.14, Point 14.15, and Point 14.16); the windows are located about 2 m above the ground, giving a run-up of more than 6 m. The swimming pools of the hotel, at the same level as the sidewalk, were also very damaged (fig. SM 6 h). In addition, a fishing vessel was recovered from the sea. It was found around 8 m deep, about 2 km south of Ericeira and about 500 m from the beach, as reported by professional divers of NDivers.

The January 7^th survey showed a similar situation at Tamariz beach, Estoril (Point17), with sand deposited on the sidewalk and stones ripped away from it (fig. 7 b and SM 7 b). The witnesses and owners of the promenade’s restaurants and bars also reported damage (table I). On March 8^th, 2014 everything was cleaned and repaired (fig. 7 c and SM 7 c), and one restaurant was already opened for business. Point 17.1 and 17.2 were 5.59 m and 5.00 m high, indicating the waves were at least 5.6 m high.

The media did not report any damage on the Poça beach, Estoril. Nevertheless, the first author found significant damage (fig. SM 7 d and 7 e). The inundation mark was at 6.12 m (Point Pb1). The sidewalk is 5.40 m high therefore the local inundation depth was 0.72 m, enough to scatter the sea walls stones on the sidewalk. On March 8^th, 2014 the protection bars were still missing (fig. SM 7 f), but new stones were already available on site to rebuild the area.

VI. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

The storm was very well documented by the witnesses who posted news, articles, videos and photos on online archives. Most witnesses described one or two waves, around 6 - 9 m high (table I). In most coastal areas, the waves completely flooded the sand beaches, and overtopped the levees and breakwaters on the evening of January 6^th and early morning of January 7^th. These reports were validated by the Cascais tide gauge station. The flooded areas were not significantly large being restricted to the beaches, sea fronts, marinas and ports, and on some streets of the low coastal areas, including both commercial and residential buildings. A preliminary report revealed that the Hercules storm caused more than 16 million euros in damages (Pinto et al., 2014). The witnesses’ accounts also showed that the authorities were able to correctly forecast the storm and to warn the coastal populations in time. The immediate response of local authorities was commendable, not only in the emergency response but also in assessing damages and cleaning operations. However, the Portuguese population did not gain significant experience from previous disasters, and the “culture of risk” had not being completely assimilated. Hence, some locals and tourists did not take the warnings seriously, moved into dangerous areas too close to the shoreline to film or take photos of the event. As a consequence, several people were caught by the waves. Some were able to escape by themselves, but others needed assistance (about 20 people).

Previous involvement in hazard incidents is important in the risk perception (Queirós et al., 2007; Momani and salmi, 2012), and after this event the Portuguese population was more aware of coastal dangers. Nevertheless, a new incident happened on March 3^rd, 2014 (sol, 2014) in which a 60 year old woman was caught by a wave at Poça beach (fig. SM 7) and died (Rodrigues et al., 2014). In order to prevent similar situations in the future it is necessary to develop strategies of spatial planning that involve the implementation of safety awareness, dissemination of disaster prevention measures and mitigation strategies to the general public. These strategies involve organization of drills and evacuation exercises (Queirós and Santos, 2013), as well as the distribution of informative pamphlets (Santos et al., 2013). At Ribeirinha, Pico Island, Azores, the beach structures will not be reconstructed on the same place because it is clearly unsafe (Carmo and Paiva, 2014). Most likely those structures will be rebuilt on higher ground.

Still, the Hercules storm showed the weaknesses of the coastal areas to a maritime extreme event, showing that coastal protections need serious evaluation and urgent mitigation actions are necessary. The problem of coastal erosion in Portugal has been addressed in the past (Paixão 2013, Trindade and Ramos-Pereira, 2013), but no practical solutions have been found yet. Although sand dunes offer a natural protection, they are not reinforced material. The construction of spurs and breakwaters offer some protection but other engineering solutions should be considered, e.g. all breakwaters and sea walls should be reinforced and elevated at least by 0.5 m.

The Hercules storm was characterized by long period waves, causing its behaviour on the coastline as “tsunami like”. This phenomenon is designated by scientific literature as meteotsunami or meteorological tsunami. Therefore, post-tsunami field survey techniques were used in order to study the impacts of this storm. The field survey confirmed the witnesses’ accounts of wave heights of 6 to 9 m and confirmed the deposition of sand reported by the witnesses. It showed scouring and erosion nearby those areas. The inundation depths were less than 1.0 m in most areas, being restricted to the sea fronts, marinas and ports. Photos taken before and after the storm allowed a better comprehension of the coastal impact of the storm. The field survey also showed that the Portuguese coastline has high ground nearby the beaches and ports allowing the users to escape safely and in time to higher ground.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

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APPENDIX A. SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL

Supplementary material related to this article can be found at http://revistas.rcaap.pt/finisterra/article/view/6468