<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0430-5027</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Finisterra - Revista Portuguesa de Geografia]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Finisterra]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0430-5027</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro de Estudos Geográficos]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0430-50272025000200201</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.18055/finis37506</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[The vanishing snow cover in Serra da Estrela: Leveraging scarce data for diagnostics and future scenarios]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[O declínio da cobertura de neve na Serra da Estrela: aproveitamento de dados escassos para diagnóstico e cenários futuros]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mora]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carla]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aaf"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vieira]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gonçalo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aaf"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade de Lisboa Instituto de Geografia e Ordenamento do Território Centro de Estudos Geográficos]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Lisboa ]]></addr-line>
<country>Portugal</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Laboratório Associado TERRA  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Portugal</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>129</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0430-50272025000200201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0430-50272025000200201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0430-50272025000200201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract This study investigates the evolution of snow cover in Serra da Estrela, the highest mountain in mainland Portugal, by integrating observational data from the Penhas Douradas meteorological station, remote sensing imagery, and climate model outputs. Results reveal a marked decline in the number of snow cover days at Penhas Douradas, dropping from an average of 53 days in the 1950s to 28 days in the 2010s, corresponding to an overall decrease of 5.4 days per decade. The rate of decline has slowed since the 1980s, as the station&#8217;s elevation still allows for snow during cold events but not for its sustained presence. To address the lack of observational data from higher elevations, we integrated multiple data sources - including low-elevation records, satellite imagery, and climate model projections - to reconstruct snow cover dynamics on the Torre Plateau since the late 19th century. Our reconstruction indicates a decrease from approximately 170 to 120 snow cover days in recent decades. Future projections under different climate scenarios suggest a continued and substantial reduction in snow cover, potentially reaching zero days by the end of the century under high-emission scenarios. Under the most extreme scenario, the Torre Plateau could experience snow conditions similar to those currently observed at 900 metres of elevation.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo Este estudo investiga a evolução da cobertura de neve na Serra da Estrela, a montanha mais elevada de Portugal continental, através da integração de dados observacionais da estação meteorológica das Penhas Douradas, imagens de deteção remota e resultados de modelos climáticos. Os resultados revelam uma redução acentuada no número de dias com cobertura de neve nas Penhas Douradas, passando de uma média de 53 dias na década de 1950 para 28 dias na década de 2010, o que corresponde a um decréscimo global de 5,4 dias por década. A taxa de declínio abrandou desde a década de 1980, uma vez que a altitude da estação ainda permite a ocorrência de neve em eventos frios, mas não a sua permanência. Para colmatar a escassez de dados observacionais nas cotas mais elevadas, integrámos diversas fontes - incluindo registos de menor altitude, imagens de satélite e projeções de modelos climáticos - de modo a reconstruir a dinâmica da cobertura de neve no Planalto da Torre desde o final do século XIX. A reconstrução aponta para uma redução do número de dias com neve de aproximadamente 170 para 120 dias nas últimas décadas. As projeções futuras, baseadas em diferentes cenários climáticos, indicam uma redução continuada e significativa da cobertura de neve, podendo esta desaparecer por completo até ao final do século em cenários de elevadas emissões. No cenário mais extremo, o Planalto da Torre poderá apresentar condições de cobertura de neve semelhantes às atualmente observadas a 900 metros de altitude.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Snow]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[remote sensing]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Serra da Estrela]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Neve]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[alterações climáticas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[deteção remota]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Serra da Estrela]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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