<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0870-8231</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Análise Psicológica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Aná. Psicológica]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0870-8231</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[ISPA-Instituto Universitário]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0870-82311999000400006</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Desenvolvimento do raciocínio condicional e modelos mentais]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Quelhas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ana Cristina]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Juhos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Csongor]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Senos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jorge]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rocha]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Teresa Almeida]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,ISPA - Instituto Superior de Psicologia Aplicada  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Lisboa ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>1999</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>1999</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<fpage>695</fpage>
<lpage>711</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0870-82311999000400006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0870-82311999000400006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0870-82311999000400006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[De acordo com a teoria dos modelos mentais (Johnson-Laird, 1983; Johnson-Laird & Byrne, 1991) a interpretação de uma frase condicional, do tipo Se p, então q, gera os modelos iniciais: p q ... em que os três pontos representam um modelo sem conteúdo explícito. A representação completa da condicional compreende os seguintes modelos explícitos: p q ¬p ¬q ¬p q em que "¬" serve aqui para indicar a negação. A partir deste quadro teórico, e da suposição de que uma inferência é tanto mais difícil quanto maior o número de modelos explícitos que requer, é possível colocar hipóteses sobre diferenças no nível de dificuldade nas inferências com os quatro silogismos condicionais. Na experiência que iremos descrever pretende-se testar essas hipóteses em sujeitos de diferentes níveis etários (8, 11 e 15 anos). A partir dos resultados obtidos serão adiantadas hipóteses sobre o progressivo desenvolvimento da capacidade de representar os três modelos mentais de interpretação das condicionais. Serão ainda realçadas diferenças na resposta dos sujeitos que derivam de diferenças no conteúdo das frases condicionais. Um último objectivo, de carácter exploratório, prende-se com a comparação das respostas em sujeitos de duas nacionalidades (Portuguesa e Húngara). Assim, o grupo de variáveis independentes define um plano factorial misto 2X3X2X4 (Nacionalidade X Idade X Conteúdo X Silogismo), dado que a última variável é intra-sujeitos.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[According to the mental models theory (Johnson-Laird, 1983; Johnson-Laird & Byrne, 1991) the interpretation of a conditional sentence of the kind If p then q creates the initial models: p q ... where the three dots represent a model without explicit content. The complete representation of the conditional has the following explicit models: p q ¬p ¬q ¬p q where "¬" is used to indicate a negation. Based on the mental models, which advocate that the greater the number of explicit models needed, the more difficult is an inference, it is possible to consider hypotheses about the differences in the difficulty level in inferences with the four conditional syllogisms. In the experiment described, our goal is to test those hypotheses in subjects of different ages (8, 11 and 15 years old). Based on the results, we present hypotheses about the progressive development of the capacity to represent the three mental models in conditional sentences interpretation. We also want to emphasise the differences in the answers of the subjects, that are a consequence of the differences in the content of the conditional sentences. Our last goal is to explore the differences in the answers by subjects of two nationalities (Portuguese and Hungarian). Thus, the group of independent variables defines a mixed factorial design 2X3X2X4 (Nationality X Age X Content X Syllogism), since the last variable is within subjects.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Silogismos condicionais]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Teoria do modelos mentais]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Desenvolvimento do raciocínio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Conditional syllogisms]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mental models theory]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Development of reasoning]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[ <P><b>Desenvolvimento do racioc&iacute;nio condicional e modelos    mentais <a name="top1"></a>(<a href="#1">*</a>) </b></P>     <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P align="right">Ana Cristina Quelhas <a name="top2"></a>(<a href="#2">**</a>)</P>     <P align="right">Csongor Juhos (<a href="#3">**</a>)</P>     <P align="right">Jorge Senos (<a href="#4">**</a>) </P>     <P align="right">Teresa Almeida Rocha (<a href="#5">**</a>) </P>     <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P align="center">RESUMO</P>     <P>De acordo com a teoria dos modelos mentais (Johnson-Laird,      1983; Johnson-Laird & Byrne, 1991) a interpreta&ccedil;&atilde;o de uma frase      condicional, do tipo <I>Se p, ent&atilde;o q</I>, gera os modelos iniciais: </P>       ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<P align="center">p q </P>     <P>... em que os tr&ecirc;s pontos representam um      modelo sem conte&uacute;do expl&iacute;cito. A representa&ccedil;&atilde;o      completa da condicional compreende os seguintes modelos expl&iacute;citos: </P>       <P align="center">p q </P>       <P align="center">&not;p &not;q </P>       <P align="center">&not;p q </P>       <P>em que &ldquo;&not;&rdquo; serve aqui para indicar      a nega&ccedil;&atilde;o. A partir deste quadro te&oacute;rico, e da suposi&ccedil;&atilde;o      de que uma infer&ecirc;ncia &eacute; tanto mais dif&iacute;cil quanto maior      o n&uacute;mero de modelos expl&iacute;citos que requer, &eacute; poss&iacute;vel      colocar hip&oacute;teses sobre diferen&ccedil;as no n&iacute;vel de dificuldade      nas infer&ecirc;ncias com os quatro silogismos condicionais. </P>       <P>Na experi&ecirc;ncia que iremos descrever pretende-se      testar essas hip&oacute;teses em sujeitos de diferentes n&iacute;veis et&aacute;rios      (8, 11 e 15 anos). A partir dos resultados obtidos ser&atilde;o adiantadas      hip&oacute;teses sobre o progressivo desenvolvimento da capacidade de representar      os tr&ecirc;s modelos mentais de interpreta&ccedil;&atilde;o das condicionais.     </P>       <P>Ser&atilde;o ainda real&ccedil;adas diferen&ccedil;as      na resposta dos sujeitos que derivam de diferen&ccedil;as no conte&uacute;do      das frases condicionais. Um &uacute;ltimo objectivo, de car&aacute;cter explorat&oacute;rio,      prende-se com a compara&ccedil;&atilde;o das respostas em sujeitos de duas      nacionalidades (Portuguesa e H&uacute;ngara). </P>       <P>Assim, o grupo de vari&aacute;veis independentes      define um plano factorial misto 2X3X2X4 (Nacionalidade X Idade X Conte&uacute;do      X Silogismo), dado que a &uacute;ltima vari&aacute;vel &eacute; intra-sujeitos. </P>     <P><I>Palavras-chave</I>: Silogismos condicionais, Teoria do modelos mentais,    Desenvolvimento do racioc&iacute;nio. </P>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<P>&nbsp;</P>     <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P align="center">ABSTRACT </P>     <P>According to the mental models theory (Johnson-Laird,      1983; Johnson-Laird & Byrne, 1991) the interpretation of a conditional sentence      of the kind <I>If p then q </I>creates the initial models: </P>     <P align="center">p q </P>     <P>... where the three dots represent a model without      explicit content. The complete representation of the conditional has the following      explicit models: </P>     <P align="center">p q </P>     <P align="center"> &not;p &not;q </P>     <P align="center">&not;p q</P>     <P> where &ldquo;&not;&rdquo; is used to indicate      a negation. Based on the mental models, which advocate that the greater the      number of explicit models needed, the more difficult is an inference, it is      possible to consider hypotheses about the differences in the difficulty level      in inferences with the four conditional syllogisms. </P>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<P>In the experiment described, our goal is to test      those hypotheses in subjects of different ages (8, 11 and 15 years old). Based      on the results, we present hypotheses about the progressive development of      the capacity to represent the three mental models in conditional sentences      interpretation. </P>     <P>We also want to emphasise the differences in      the answers of the subjects, that are a consequence of the differences in      the content of the conditional sentences. Our last goal is to explore the      differences in the answers by subjects of two nationalities (Portuguese and      Hungarian). </P>     <P>Thus, the group of independent variables defines      a mixed factorial design 2X3X2X4 (Nationality X Age X Content X Syllogism),      since the last variable is within subjects. </P>     <P><I>Key words</I>: Conditional syllogisms, Mental models theory, Development    of reasoning. </P>     <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P>Texto completo dispon&iacute;vel apenas em PDF.</P>     <p>Full text only available in PDF format. </p>           <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P align="center">REFER&Ecirc;NCIAS BIBLIOGR&Aacute;FICAS </P>     <!-- ref --><P>Bara, B. (1994). Developing induction. <I>International Studies in the Philosophy of Sience, 8</I>, 31-34.      &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=000042&pid=S0870-8231199900040000600001&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --><p> Bara, B. (1995). <I>Cognitive science: A developmental approach to the simulation of the mind</I>. Hove:       Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>     <P> Braine, M. D. S. (1978). On the relation between the natural logic of reasoning    and standard logic. <I>Psychological Review, 85</I>, 1-21.      <P>Braine, M. D. S. (1990). The &laquo;natural logic&raquo; approach to reasoning.    In W. F. Overton (Ed.), <I>Resoning, necessity, and logic: Developmental perspectives    </I>(pp. 135-157). Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>     <P>Campbell, R., & Olson, D. (1990). Children&rsquo;s thinking. In R. Grieve & M.        Hughes (Eds.), <I>Cognitive development to adolescence </I>(pp. 105-138).        Hove: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>      <P>Case, R., Kurland, D. M., & Goldberg, J. (1982). Operational efficiency and the        growth of short-term memory span. <I>Journal of Experimental Child Psychology,        33</I>, 386-404. </P>     <P>Cheng, P. W., & Holyoak, K. J. (1985). Pragmatic reasoning schemas. <I>Cognitive        Psychology, 17</I>, 391-416. </P>     <P>Cheng, P. W., & Holyoak, K. J. (1989). On the natural selection of reasoning        theories. <I>Cognition, 33</I>, 285-313. </P>     <P>Chi, M. T. H. (1978). Knowledge structures and memory development. In R. S. Siegler        (Ed.), <I>Children&acute;s thinking: What develops </I>(pp. 73-96). Hillsdale,        NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>     <P>Evans, J. St. B. T. (1982). <I>The psychology of deductive reasoning</I>. London:        Routledge & Kegan Paul. </P>     <P>Evans, J. St. B. T. (1993). Bias and racionality. In K. I. Manktelow & D. E.        Over (Eds.), <I>Rationality: Psychological and philosophical perspectives        </I>(pp. 630). London: Routledge & Kegan Paul. </P>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<P>Evans, J. St. B. T., Newstead, S. E., & Byrne, R. M. J. (1993). <I>Human reasoning:        The psychology of deduction</I>. U.K.: Lawrance Erlbaum Associates. </P>     <P>Henle, M. (1962). On the relation between logic and thinking. <I>Psychological        Review, 69</I>, 366-378. </P>     <P>Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1983). <I>Mental models: Toward a cognitive science of        language, inference and consciousness</I>. Cambridge: Cambridge University        Press. </P>     <P>Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1988). A taxonomy of thinking. In R. J. Sternberg & E.        E. Smith (Eds.), <I>The psychology of human thought </I>(pp. 173-194). New        York: W. H. Freeman. </P>     <P>Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1990). The development the reasoning ability. In G. Butterworth        & Bryant (Eds.), <I>Causes of development: Interdisciplinary perspectives        </I>(pp. 85-110). New York: Harvester Wheatsheaf. </P>     <P>Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1993). <I>Human and machine thinking</I>. Hillsdale, NJ:        Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>     <P>Johnson-Laird, P. N., & Byrne, R. M. J. (1991). <I>Deduction</I>. Houve, UK:        Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>     <P>Johnson-Laird, P. N., Oakhill, J. V., & Bull, D. (1986). Children&acute;s syllogistic        reasoning. <I>Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 33A</I>, 35-38. </P>     <P>Markovits, H. (1993). The development of conditional reasoning: A piegetian reformulation        of mental models theory. <I>Merrill-Palmer Quarterly, 39</I>, 131--158. </P>     <P>Oakhill, J. (1988). The development of children's reasoning obility: Information-processing        approaches. In K. Richardson, & S. Sheldon (Eds.), <I>Cognitive development        to adolescence </I>(pp. 169-188). Hove: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. </P>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<P>Oakhill, J. V., & Johnson-Laird , P. N. (1985). The effects of belief on the        spontaneous production of syllogistic conclusions. <I>Quarterly Journal        of Experimental Psychology, 37A</I>, 553-569. </P>     <P>Quelhas, A. C. (1996). <I>Racioc&iacute;nio condicional: Mode-los mentais e esquemas        pragm&aacute;ticos</I>. Lisboa: ISPA. </P>     <P>Rips, L. J. (1983). Cognitive processes in propositional reasoning. <I>Psychological        Review, 90</I>, 38-71. </P>     <P>Rips, L. J. (1988). Dedution. In R. J. Sternberg & E. E. Smith (Eds.), <I>The        psychology of human thougth </I>(pp. 116-152). New York: Cambridge University        Press. </P>     <P>Rips, L. J. (1994). <I>The psychology of proof: Deductive reasoning in human        thinking</I>. USA: Bradford Book. </P>     <P>Taplin, E. J., Staudenmayer, H., & Taddonio, J. L. (1974). Developmental changes        in condicional reasoning: Linguistic or logical?. <I>Journal of Experimental        Child Psychology, 17 </I>(2), 360-373. </P>     <P>Wason, P. C. (1966). Reasoning. In B. M. Foss (Ed.), <I>New horizons in psychology        </I>(Vol. 1). Harmondsworth: Penguin. </P>     <P>&nbsp;</P>     <P><a name="1"></a>(<a href="#top1">*</a>) Resultados desta experi&ecirc;ncia    foram parcialmente apresentados no Workshop sobre Deductive reasoning and strategies    (Bruxelas, Mar&ccedil;o de 1998) e na IXth European Conference on Developmental    Psychology (Gr&eacute;cia, Setembro de 1999).</P>     <P><a name="2"></a><a name="3"></a><a name="4"></a><a name="5"></a>(<a href="#top2">**</a>)    Instituto Superior de Psicologia Aplicada, Lisboa. </P>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ ]]></body><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bara]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Developing induction.]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Studies in the Philosophy of Sience]]></source>
<year>1994</year>
<volume>8</volume>
<page-range>31-34</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
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