<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1645-9199</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Relações Internacionais (R:I)]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Relações Internacionais]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1645-9199</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[IPRI-UNL]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1645-91992021000300013</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.23906/ri2021.71a02</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[A expansão da China e a construção de uma problemática: Explorando a teoria internacional a propósito de uma nova era de contenção estratégica]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[The China&#8217;s expansion and the construction of a problematic]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lobo-Fernandes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Luís]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade do Minho  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Braga ]]></addr-line>
<country>Portugal</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>30</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>30</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>71</numero>
<fpage>13</fpage>
<lpage>29</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1645-91992021000300013&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1645-91992021000300013&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1645-91992021000300013&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo O presente artigo explora a construção de uma problemática racional sobre a crescente expansão da China, revisitando as questões conexas dos ciclos longos, das transições hegemónicas e da chamada «armadilha de Tucídides», entre outras dimensões de análise, na base de alguns dos mais importantes delineamentos teóricos de Tucídides, Kautilya, Organski, Modelski, Gilpin e G. Allison. A conclusão aponta para a ideia de que o atual sistema internacional revela já uma nova era de contenção estratégica.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract This article attempts to build a rational case about China&#8217;s burgeoning expansion revisiting the interrelated questions of the long cycles, hegemonic transitions and the so-called &#8220;Thucydides&#8217;s trap&#8221; among other analytical dimensions, drawing mainly upon some of the most important theoretical propositions from Thucydides, Kautilya, Organski, Modelski, Gilpin, and G. Allison. The conclusion points to the idea that the current international system already reveals a new phase of strategic containment.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[China]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Estados Unidos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Europa]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[contenção estratégica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[China]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[United States]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Europe]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[strategic containment]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ALLISON]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Graham]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides&#8217;s Trap?]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Houghton Mifflin Harcourt]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[AVÓ]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[César]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[PC chinês aposta na tecnologia e na repressão em Hong Kong]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Diário de Notícias]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<page-range>18</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[BIDEN raises concerns with China&#8217;s Xi in first call since election]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The New York Times]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BILLETER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jean François]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Pourquoi l&#8217;Europe: Réflexions d&#8217;un Sinologue]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Paris ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Éditions Allia]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BOESCHE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Roger]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Kautilya: The First Great Political Realist]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[HarperCollins Publishers]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BRADY]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Anne-Marie]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[China as A Polar Great Power]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge, UK ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Cambridge University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BRANDS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Hal]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[GADDIS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[John Lewis]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The New Cold War America, China, and the echoes of history]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Foreign Affairs]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<numero>novembro-dezembro</numero>
<issue>novembro-dezembro</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BULL]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Hedley]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Columbia University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[CARTLEDGE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Paul]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Democritus]]></source>
<year>1999</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Routledge]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[CHINA braces for new Cold War with U.S. after emboldening its leader]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The New York Times]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<page-range>A7</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>CONSELHO DA UNIÃO EUROPEIA</collab>
<source><![CDATA[China: declaração do alto representante, em nome da União Europeia, instando as autoridades chinesas a tomarem medidas contra as ciberatividades maliciosas com origem no seu território]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[EEUU acusa a agentes chinos de robar secretos comerciales a 12 países]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[El País]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[CAMERLO]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marcelo]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MALAMUD]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Andrés]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[VAZ-PINTO]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Raquel]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[ESTUDOS europeus segundo Luís Lobo-Fernandes]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ciência Política à Portuguesa: A Disciplina Contada pelos Seus PROTAGONISTAS]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[LISBOA ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[IMPRENSA DE CIÊNCIAS SOCIAIS]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[EVANGELISTA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[PARSI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Partners or Rivals? European-American Relations after Iraq]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<page-range>24-5</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Milão ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Vita &amp; Pensiero]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[FERREIRA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Victor]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Dependência da Ásia: o circuito integrado tornou-se uma chave da soberania]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Público]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<page-range>25</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[FINLAY]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[David J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[HOVET JR.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Thomas]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[7304: International Relations on the Planet Earth]]></source>
<year>1975</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Harper &amp; Row Publishers]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[FISCHERKELLER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Michael P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[HARKNETT]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Richard J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Deterrence is not a credible strategy for cyberspace]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Orbis]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[FRIEND]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[John M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BRADLEY]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. Thayer]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The rise of han-centrism and what it means for international politics]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Studies in Ethnicity and Nationalism.]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>91-114</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[GILPIN]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[War and Change in World Politics]]></source>
<year>1981</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge, UK ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Cambridge University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[GILPIN]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Political Economy of International Relations]]></source>
<year>1987</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Princeton, NJ ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Princeton University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[GODEMENT]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[François]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[VASSELIER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Abigaël]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[La Chine à nos portes: Une stratégie pour l&#8217;Europe]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Paris ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Odile Jacob]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[HARKNETT]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Richard J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Smeets]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Max]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Cyber campaigns and strategic outcome]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Strategic Studies]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<numero>10</numero>
<issue>10</issue>
<page-range>1-35</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[HENIG]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ruth]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Origins of the First World War]]></source>
<year>2003</year>
<edition>3</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Londres ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Routledge]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[INSIDE India&#8217;s aircraft carrier: first seatrial done, Vikrant in new avatar ready for fighter jets to take off]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[India Today]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[JAPÃO comprará mais de 100 caças e terá porta-aviões pela 1.ª vez desde a Segunda Guerra]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[O Globo]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[JERVIS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Perception and Misperception in International Politics]]></source>
<year>1976</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Princeton ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Princeton University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B27">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[JERVIS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Logic of Images in International Relations]]></source>
<year>1989</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Columbia University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B28">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[JÜTERSONKE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Oliver]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The image of law in Politics Among Nations]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Realism Reconsidered: The Legacy of Hans J. Morgenthau in International Relations]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nova York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Oxford University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B29">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[KEOHANE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert O.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Power and Governance in a Partially Globalized World]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Londres ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Routledge]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B30">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[KISSINGER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Henry]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[A World Restored: Metternich, Castlereagh and the Problems of Peace 1812-22]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Brattleboro ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Echo Point Books &amp; Media]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B31">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[KYNGE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[James]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[PEEL]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Michael]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Eastern Europe&#8217;s China pivot]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Financial Times]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<page-range>7</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B32">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LOBO-FERNANDES]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Luís]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[De Tucídides a Guicciardini: factores perenes do realismo em Relações Internacionais e a ascensão dos novos colossos asiáticos]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Relações Internacionais]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<numero>16</numero>
<issue>16</issue>
<page-range>7-19</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B33">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LOBO-FERNANDES]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Luís]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Estudo introdutório]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[História da Guerra do Peloponeso]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Lisboa ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Edições Sílabo]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B34">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LOBO-FERNANDES]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Luís]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Uma teoria nomotética da política internacional ou a construção da verdade em Waltz: algumas considerações]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Relações Internacionais]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<numero>39</numero>
<issue>39</issue>
<page-range>15-24</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B35">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LOBO-FERNANDES]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Luís]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[O dilema de segurança e a modernidade absoluta de Tucídides]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Relações Internacionais]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<numero>55</numero>
<issue>55</issue>
<page-range>135-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B36">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LOWI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Globalization, war, and the withering away of the state]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The Brown Journal of World Affairs]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>243-56</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B37">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<source><![CDATA[MAGIC weapons: China&#8217;s political influence activities under Xi Jinping]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B38">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[MAHATHIR Mohamad warns against &#8220;new colonialism&#8221; during China visit]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Financial Times]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B39">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MEARSHEIMER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[John J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The inevitable rivalry: America, China, and the tragedy of great-power politics]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Foreign Affairs]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>100</volume>
<numero>6</numero>
<issue>6</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B40">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MIZOKAMI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Kyle]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[China is trying to build an Atlantic naval base]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Popular Mechanics]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B41">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MODELSKI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[George]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Long Cycles in World Politics]]></source>
<year>1987</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Londres ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Palgrave Macmillan]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B42">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MODELSKI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[George]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Evolutionary world politics: problems of scope and method]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Evolutionary Interpretations of World Politics]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Londres ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Routledge]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B43">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MYERS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Steven Lee]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[SANGER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[David E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[US-China Summit produces little more than polite words, but they help]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The New York Times]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B44">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<source><![CDATA[NATIONAL Security Strategy of the United States of America]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B45">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[PENA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Paulo]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[China na Europa: parceiro ou rival?]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Euronews]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B46">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[PEQUIM adverte que &#8220;independência de Taiwan significa guerra&#8221;]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[O Jornal Económico]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B47">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ROCHER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Sophie Boisseau du]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[PRISQUE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Emmanuel Dubois de]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[La Chine e(s)t le monde: Essai sur la sino-mondialisation]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Paris ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Odile Jacob]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B48">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ROMILLY]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jacqueline de]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[La construction de la vérité chez Thucydide]]></source>
<year>1990</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Paris ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Julliard]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B49">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ROVELLI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carlo]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The First Scientist: Anaximander and His Legacy]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Yardley ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Westholme Publishing,]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B50">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[RUDD]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Kevin]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Lessons from Europe 1914 for Asia 2014: reflections on the centenary of the outbreak of World War I]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="editor">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ROSECRANCE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Richard N.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MILLER]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Steven E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Next Great War? The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge, Massachusetts ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[The MIT Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B51">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[SCHAKE]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Kori]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Safe Passage: The Transition from British to American Hegemony]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge, MA ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Harvard University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B52">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[SHAHI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Deepshikha]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Kautilya and Non-Western IR Theory]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Londres ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Palgrave Pivot]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B53">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[TAMMEN]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ronald L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century]]></source>
<year>2000</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Washington ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[CQPress]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B54">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[TECEDEIRO]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Helena]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A UE tem de ser firme com a China, mas evitar o risco de confronto]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Diário de Notícias]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<page-range>20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B55">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[TEIXEIRA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Nuno Severiano]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Estes europeus estão loucos?]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Público]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B56">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[U.S. aircraft carrier arrives in Vietnam, with a message for China]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The New York Times]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B57">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<source><![CDATA[U.S.-China strategic competition in South and East China seas: background and issues for congress]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Congressional Research Service]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B58">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[UM livro sobre &#8220;a melhor ideia da história&#8221;]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Público]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<month>,</month>
<page-range>7</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B59">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[XIAOHUI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Su]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Thucydides trap can be avoided]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[China Daily]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B60">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[YEW]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Lee Kuan]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Grand Master&#8217;s Insights on China, the United States, and the World]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<page-range>9</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge, Massachusetts ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[The MIT Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B61">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ZOELLICK]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert B.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[U.S., China and Thucydides]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The National Interest]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
